New York Empire State factory gauge plunges in August deep into contraction territory

New York Empire State factory gauge plunges in August deep into contraction territory

The numbers: The New York Fed’s Empire State business conditions index, a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state, plummeted 42.4 points to negative 31.3 in August, the regional Fed bank said Monday. This is the second largest monthly decline on record and among the lowest levels in the survey’s history, the regional Fed bank … Read more

US consumer price inflation surprises to downside in July

US consumer price inflation surprises to downside in July

The numbers: The US consumer price index was unchanged in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, compared with the 1.3% gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had estimated a 0.2% advance in July. The rate of inflation in the 12 months ended in July retired to 8.5% from a … Read more

JP Morgan quant who called summer rebound in stocks says rally could continue even if corporate profits decline

JP Morgan quant who called summer rebound in stocks says rally could continue even if corporate profits decline

Investors worried about the next pullback for stocks might want to pause and consider this: the decline in equity valuations since the start of the year already has exceeded the average pullback of other recessionary periods since the early 1990s, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’ s equity as to Marko Kolanovic. While more Wall … Read more

FAANGs ain’t what they used to be, so beware the bear-market bounce says this hedge fund manager

FAANGs ain’t what they used to be, so beware the bear-market bounce says this hedge fund manager

It’s been some rally. The S&P 500 SPX, -0.20% is starting the week at a seven-week high, bolstered by hopes for a less hawkish Fed and a sense that earnings pessimism was overdone. The benchmark stock index is up 12.6% from the recent low hit md-June, having delivered its best July performance since 1939, according … Read more

US inflation surges again and stays at 40-year high, key price gauge shows

US inflation surges again and stays at 40-year high, key price gauge shows

The numbers: A key gauge of US inflation rose a sharp 1% in June, led by higher fuel prices, in a sign that price pressures in the economy are still intense and unlikely to relent quickly. The increase in the so-called personal-consumption price index exceeded Wall Street’s forecast. Economists had predicted a 0.9% advance. A … Read more

Buying stocks now could bring you pain over the next few weeks. But you’ll be thanking yourself a year from now, these analysts say.

Buying stocks now could bring you pain over the next few weeks.  But you’ll be thanking yourself a year from now, these analysts say.

How bad is the mood out there right now? Try max bearish. So said Bank of America’s latest fund manager survey on Tuesday that showed expectations for profits and growth at recessionary levels. Yet Wall Street rallied and more gains are ahead for Wednesday, partly on earnings optimism but also as some see all this … Read more

Dow clings to gain as earnings season kicks off, with investors scaling back Fed rate-hike expectations

Dow clings to gain as earnings season kicks off, with investors scaling back Fed rate-hike expectations

US stocks rose, but trimmed earlier gains, as investors focused on positive elements in the quarterly results of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bank of America Corp. in an attempt to build upon upside momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike next week. How stocks are trading The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA … Read more

Expect the stock market to be driven ‘more by earnings than the macro,’ says Morgan Stanley’s Wilson

Expect the stock market to be driven ‘more by earnings than the macro,’ says Morgan Stanley’s Wilson

Earnings season will be a key test for the stock market after the S&P 500 last week closed out its worst half-year performance since 1970, said strategists from Morgan Stanley. The direction of stocks going forward will be mostly tied to second-quarter earnings as interest rate hikes and surging inflation reflect the growth slowdown more … Read more

Powell says no guarantee of soft landing for US economy

Powell says no guarantee of soft landing for US economy

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday said there was no guarantee that the central bank can engineer a soft landing for the US economy. “We think that there are pathways for us to achieve the path back to 2% inflation while still retaining a strong labor market. We believe we can do that,” Powell said, … Read more

Rising rents, gas and food prices push US inflation rate to 8.6%, CPI shows

Rising rents, gas and food prices push US inflation rate to 8.6%, CPI shows

The numbers: The cost of living jumped 1% in May on the back of higher rents, gas and food prices, pushing the rate of US inflation to a 40-year high of 8.6%. The increase in the consumer price index in May was more than triple the gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The … Read more